Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225970           5          37          47          11           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960285           3          17          55          22           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   2.62000e-07           1          31          62           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.50       25.75       57.25       13.50        1.00     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B5.7