Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219777          10          44          40           6           0        B7.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000871586           3          39          48          10           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.45000e-07          11          61          27           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       24.0000           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.00       49.50       37.00        5.50        0.00     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7