Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218794          14          49          34           3           0        B5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000844436           6          51          37           6           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   1.33000e-07           6          62          31           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             9.75       54.75       32.25        3.25        0.00     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4