Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221671           5          47          40           8           0        B8.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000886988           1          35          52          11           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   1.86000e-07           6          45          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       35.0000           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.50       45.25       40.50        9.50        0.25     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2