Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229076           1          25          61          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000994703           2          14          62          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.26000e-07           4          10          73          13           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.75       14.75       64.75       16.00        1.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0