Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230414           1          19          59          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100719           2          11          67          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.16000e-07           3          11          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.50       11.25       65.00       19.75        2.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0