Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233652           4          13          62          19           2        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104328           3          12          61          16           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   4.39000e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.25        9.00       66.25       19.00        3.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7