Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235324           4          12          57          23           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105246           3           7          64          17           9        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   4.32000e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.00        7.50       65.25       20.75        4.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4