Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233334           3          17          60          18           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102657           2          15          63          15           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.96000e-07           1           4          75          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.75        9.00       67.50       19.00        2.75     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9