Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237711           1           7          67          20           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109074           4           3          71          21           1        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.80000e-07           3           1          70          25           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       95.0000           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.25        2.75       69.50       22.50        3.00     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.9