Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236397           2          14          61          19           4        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108312           2           4          72          19           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   4.49000e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       94.0000           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.75        4.75       70.75       19.25        3.50     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5