Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236486           2          14          59          20           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108536           2           4          73          18           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.45000e-07           1           1          82          15           1        C3.8
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.75        5.00       69.25       20.25        3.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.9