Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233824           4          12          64          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105573           3           4          65          19           9        C4.0
GOES Xray  =   3.79000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             2.25        7.25       65.50       21.25        3.75     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C9.9