Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228258           3          32          57           8           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000975383           3          17          56          20           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   3.11000e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.50       24.00       60.00       11.00        1.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5