Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224572           5          49          42           4           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000892871           2          34          49          13           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   2.47000e-07           4          37          51           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             4.00       39.00       48.50        7.50        1.00     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2