Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223309           6          52          36           6           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000865597           6          42          44           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   2.26000e-07           4          40          51           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             4.00       38.00       49.75        8.00        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C7.3