Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222141           6          48          38           8           0        B8.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000849538           4          52          38           6           0        B8.5
GOES Xray  =   1.95000e-07           5          46          43           6           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             4.75       42.25       45.25        7.25        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1