Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225219           6          43          44           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000880460           1          37          50          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   2.58000e-07           1          31          60           8           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       55.0000           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       33.25       53.75       10.25        0.25     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7