Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227033           2          31          53          14           0        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000927964           1          20          51          25           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   2.99000e-07           3          20          70           7           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             1.50       22.25       60.50       14.75        1.00     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8