Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231284           4          17          59          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000991159           3          13          62          18           4        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   4.15000e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C2.7
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             2.00       10.25       63.75       21.00        3.00     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C7.2