Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235220           4          11          58          23           4        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105797           3           4          68          17           8        C3.9
GOES Xray  =   4.93000e-07           3           1          62          33           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.75        5.25       60.50       27.25        4.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5