Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238192           1           5          68          19           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107652           1           4          72          21           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   6.51000e-07           1           0          62          31           6        C8.3
est. ISN   =       80.0000           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             1.00        3.00       66.75       24.50        4.75     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C8.9