Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239993           1           6          67          20           6        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110765           3           3          61          30           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   6.78000e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.5
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        3.50       59.75       30.50        4.75     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      C8.5