Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233066           2          15          63          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101709           2          14          68          14           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   4.55000e-07           2           1          80          15           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       82.0000           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.00        7.75       67.25       20.00        3.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1