Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229542           1          21          62          15           1        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000965748           3          19          52          22           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   3.89000e-07           1           3          77          18           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       93.0000           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             1.50       10.75       66.25       19.00        2.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1