Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229327           1          23          61          14           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000977886           3          15          56          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.96000e-07           1           4          75          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.75       10.75       63.75       20.50        3.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C9.7