Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229267           1          24          61          13           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000986983           4          14          59          18           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.59000e-07           2           5          76          17           0        C2.7
est. ISN   =       73.0000           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.00       12.25       62.50       20.75        2.50     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8