Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231407           3          17          61          16           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102362           3          14          64          15           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.71000e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.00       13.00       66.75       16.25        2.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9