Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231922           3          16          57          22           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103125           1          14          65          13           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   3.75000e-07           1           5          77          17           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.50       13.25       66.00       16.75        2.50     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6