Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234262           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107978           1           3          75          18           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.76000e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.50       10.00       69.75       15.50        2.25     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5