Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234954           5           9          59          24           3        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109833           3           2          68          25           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   3.63000e-07           2           5          74          19           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       24.0000           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.50       17.50       58.50       18.25        1.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4