Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235320           4          12          57          23           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108933           4           3          71          20           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   4.01000e-07           1           3          78          17           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.75       15.50       62.25       16.50        2.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8