Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234278           4          11          63          19           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105477           3           6          64          18           9        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   3.99000e-07           1           3          77          18           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             2.00        9.50       68.00       17.00        3.50     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6