Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232248           3          15          60          20           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102245           3          14          63          16           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.64000e-07           2           5          76          17           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             2.00       13.00       66.75       16.50        1.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1