Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230266           1          20          58          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100057           2          12          64          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.11000e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.50       16.00       65.50       13.50        2.50     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6