Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231648           3          15          58          21           3        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103386           1          14          65          13           7        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.48000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       56.0000           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.25       13.50       64.75       16.75        2.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B9.8