Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229754           1          21          60          16           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000989314           3          13          61          18           5        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   3.14000e-07           3          11          76          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       35.0000           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.25       24.75       56.75       13.50        1.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1