Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228500           2          28          60          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000980490           4          14          56          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   2.66000e-07           1          30          62           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             3.25       30.50       53.75       11.25        1.25     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      B4.6