Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227591           3          32          54          11           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000957765           3          15          57          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.69000e-07           1          34          59           6           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             2.75       26.25       57.75       11.75        1.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8