Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229679           1          21          62          15           1        C2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979462           4          15          55          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.39000e-07           3           5          77          15           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             3.00       16.50       63.75       14.50        2.25     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0