Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230950           4          18          58          18           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000977333           3          17          54          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.91000e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             3.00       14.75       62.50       17.00        2.75     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2