Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231500           3          15          60          19           3        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100223           2          11          65          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.86000e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C3.1
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.75        9.50       67.75       19.00        2.00     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.3