Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232416           3          16          60          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103629           3          12          63          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   4.06000e-07           1           2          79          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.25       12.50       65.75       16.50        3.00     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1