Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231181           4          17          60          16           3        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102252           3          14          63          16           4        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   3.88000e-07           1           3          78          18           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             2.25       10.50       67.00       18.25        2.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5