Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226717           2          36          47          15           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000971365           3          17          54          21           5        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   3.14000e-07           3          11          76          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             2.00       17.50       61.25       17.50        1.75     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      B8.4