Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225793           5          42          44           9           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000962478           3          16          55          22           4        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   2.66000e-07           1          30          62           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       82.0000           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.75       22.25       54.75       17.75        2.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      B9.7