Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224261           5          50          40           5           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000930313           1          21          52          24           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.41000e-07           3          33          55           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.50       28.25       51.50       16.50        1.25     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B3.7