Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222482           6          46          41           7           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000918351           3          22          52          20           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.13000e-07           2          45          47           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             3.50       33.00       50.25       12.25        1.00     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      B3.6