Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225045           6          44          45           5           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000947933           1          15          56          25           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   2.33000e-07           4          34          53           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       64.0000           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             3.75       26.00       53.00       16.00        1.25     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B5.5