Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225051           6          44          45           5           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946939           1          16          56          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.19000e-07           2          44          48           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             3.25       32.00       52.50       10.75        1.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0